Weekly Market Overview
US stocks declined today, after four consecutive days of gains, after manufacturing reports came out showing falling activity in December amid growing concerns about the direction of the economy. Many are worried about the two million subprime mortgages, worth around $350 billion, that are expected to reset to a higher interest rate over the next 18 months. This combined with the resets on near-prime loans are expected to continue to climb until at least 2010, which caused many to call the strength of the economy - or at least the financial sector - into serious question. Stocks were bullish last week, however, ahead of a widely-anticipated rate cut by the Fed that many hope will help bolster the economy. In the end, investors should be very
cautious...
Top 10 Stocks to Watch this Week
Fundamental Analysis
- Tyco Electronics (TEL)
- After recently spinning off from Tyco this stock is down almost 10%,
but is starting to catch the attention of value investors. The company
is trading well below its peers with strong cash flows. It is also a
victim of the spin-off effect, which has made it an even greater value
to opportunistic investors. We believe that this company will
outperform in the long-term. (Read More)
- Capital Southwest (CSWC)
- Activist investor Ned Sherwood came out with an analysis on this
company showing a $200/share valuation. The only thing holding shares
back are practices by the company that can easily be changed if they so
desire. Unfortunately, the company seems resistant to change now, but
this is definitely a stock to watch incase they change their mind. (Read More)
- United Online (UNTD)
- Classmates.com is one of the fastest growing social networking
websites on the Internet and this company plans to spin it off real
soon. Investors should keep an eye on this development as spin-offs not
only represent great investment opportunities, but the social
networking space is red hot with names like Facebook and Myspace in the
news constantly. (Read More)
- Brinks Company (BCO)
- Activist hedge funds Pirate Capital and MMI Investments are still
fighting the company to unlock value through a divesture of several key
businesses. Given the difficult credit market, some are now questioning
whether or not this is possible. However, if credit markets improve and
they hedge funds are successful during the next annual meeting, this
stock could soar. (Read More)
- Ceridian Corp. (CEN)
- This activist target has agreed to bend to the pressure of the hedge
funds and is definitely a company to watch ahead of its annual meeting
where it will fight to retain its incumbant board members. If Pershing
Square is successful in installing its own board members, we could see
significant share appreciation. (Read More)
Technical Analysis- Cummins Incorporated (CMI) - Intermediate-term bullish continuation wedge
- Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (GT) - Long-term bullish symmetrical continuation triangle
- Hlth Corporation (HLTH) - Long-term bullish continuation diamond
- Corinthian Colleges Inc. (COCO) - Intermediate-term bullish ascending triangle
- Hoku Scientific Inc. (HOKU) - Long-term bullish continuation wedge
Stock of the Week : Nelson Jilted on Wendy’s Bid (WEN)
Wendy’s International
(NYSE:WEN) shareholders are in for another surprise after Citigroup and
Merrill Lynch have reportedly withdrawn their funding for Nelson
Peltz’s bid for the company. Meanwhile, JP Morgan and Lehman Brothers
have also supposedly declined to offer bidders staple financing on the
transaction. The activist investor will still have funding from
Deutsche Bank and Royal Bank; however, increased trouble among the
banking sector may prompt those two banks to withdraw their support as
well. (Read More)
Article of the Week : How to Analyze the Retail Industry
Consumer spending is perhaps the most vital aspect of our economy and
no industry feels its effects more than the retail industry. The
industry is one of the largest in the United States and its growth is
largely dependent on the economy as a whole. This article will take a
look at how to analyze retailers... (Read More)
Final Words
The
market remains optimistic despite questionable yields and other
economic data. While this is good news for investors in the short term,
be sure to use caution and only invest prudently.