Weekly Market Overview

The markets moved down today on talk from Alan Greenspan that the economy may be facing possible stagflation. Unfortunately, the rise in inflation means that investors won't be able to count on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates much further. This notion was further enforced by the fact that the Fed only cut rates by a quarter point last week amid high-than-expected gains in wholesale and consumer prices. The problem with these prospects is that higher inflation will put pressure on consumers and therefore profits. Meanwhile, corporations will not be helped by a rate cut, which enables them to borrow money at a cheaper rate. This could spell trouble in the near future...

Top 10 Stocks to Watch this Week

Fundamental Analysis

1. Tyco Electronics (TEL) - After recently spinning off from Tyco this stock is down almost 10%, but is starting to catch the attention of value investors. The company is trading well below its peers with strong cash flows. It is also a victim of the spin-off effect, which has made it an even greater value to opportunistic investors. We believe that this company will outperform in the long-term.
2. Capital Southwest (CSWC) - Activist investor Ned Sherwood came out with an analysis on this company showing a $200/share valuation. The only thing holding shares back are practices by the company that can easily be changed if they so desire. Unfortunately, the company seems resistant to change now, but this is definitely a stock to watch incase they change their mind.
3. United Online (UNTD) - Classmates.com is one of the fastest growing social networking websites on the Internet and this company plans to spin it off real soon. Investors should keep an eye on this development as spin-offs not only represent great investment opportunities, but the social networking space is red hot with names like Facebook and Myspace in the news constantly.
4. Brinks Company (BCO) - Activist hedge funds Pirate Capital and MMI Investments are still fighting the company to unlock value through a divesture of several key businesses. Given the difficult credit market, some are now questioning whether or not this is possible. However, if credit markets improve and they hedge funds are successful during the next annual meeting, this stock could soar.
5. Ceridian Corp. (CEN) - This activist target has agreed to bend to the pressure of the hedge funds and is definitely a company to watch ahead of its annual meeting where it will fight to retain its incumbant board members. If Pershing Square is successful in installing its own board members, we could see significant share appreciation.
   

1. Andersons  Inc. (ANDE) - Intermediate term bullish continuation wedge.
2. Aventine Renewable Energy Holdings (AVR) - Intermediate term bullish megaphone bottom.
3. Honeywell International (HON) - Long term bullish continuation diamond.
4. Indevus Pharmaceuticals (IDEV) - Long term bullish continuation diamond.
5. Salesforce.Com (CRM) - Intermediate term bullish ascending triangle.
   

Stock of the Week : PDL BioPharma (PDLI)

PDL BioPharma (NDAQ:PDLI) announced that it has successfully sold the rights to its transplant drug IV Busulfex to Japan's Otsuka Pharmaceuticals for $200 in cash in deal that will close in the first quarter. The move should lessen the pressure on the drug maker by activist shareholders who have been pushing the company to unlock shareholder value for the past few months. (Read More)

Article of the Week : How to Analyze the Retail Industry

Consumer spending is perhaps the most vital aspect of our economy and no industry feels its effects more than the retail industry. The industry is one of the largest in the United States and its growth is largely dependent on the economy as a whole. This article will take a look at how to analyze retailers... (Read More)

Final Words

The market remains optimistic despite questionable yields and other economic data. While this is good news for investors in the short term, be sure to use caution and only invest prudently.