Weekly Market Overview
Stocks
began the week on a positive note after the Dow crossed the psychological 14,000 mark for the first time since late July. Many investors and analysts seem confident that the credit crunch is over and that further interest rate cuts lie ahead. Meanwhile, fourth quarter earnings are widely expected to beat estimates after a series of writedowns by major investment banks and other companies. Some factors should have weighed down on the market, such as a decline in manufacturing activity, but didn't seem to stop the market from moving up over 200 points intraday. This is great news for investors, but everyone should be careful in this volatile market.
Top 10 Stocks to Watch this Week
Fundamental Analysis
- Tyco Electronics (TEL)
- After recently spinning off from Tyco this stock is down almost 10%,
but is starting to catch the attention of value investors. The company
is trading well below its peers with strong cash flows. It is also a
victim of the spin-off effect, which has made it an even greater value
to opportunistic investors. We believe that this company will
outperform in the long-term. (Read More)
- Capital Southwest (CSWC)
- Activist investor Ned Sherwood came out with an analysis on this
company showing a $200/share valuation. The only thing holding shares
back are practices by the company that can easily be changed if they so
desire. Unfortunately, the company seems resistant to change now, but
this is definitely a stock to watch incase they change their mind. (Read More)
- United Online (UNTD)
- Classmates.com is one of the fastest growing social networking
websites on the Internet and this company plans to spin it off real
soon. Investors should keep an eye on this development as spin-offs not
only represent great investment opportunities, but the social
networking space is red hot with names like Facebook and Myspace in the
news constantly. (Read More)
- Brinks Company (BCO)
- Activist hedge funds Pirate Capital and MMI Investments are still
fighting the company to unlock value through a divesture of several key
businesses. Given the difficult credit market, some are now questioning
whether or not this is possible. However, if credit markets improve and
they hedge funds are successful during the next annual meeting, this
stock could soar. (Read More)
- Ceridian Corp. (CEN)
- This activist target has agreed to bend to the pressure of the hedge
funds and is definitely a company to watch ahead of its annual meeting
where it will fight to retain its incumbant board members. If Pershing
Square is successful in installing its own board members, we could see
significant share appreciation. (Read More)
Technical Analysis
- 3com Corporation (COMS) - Intermediate term bullish megaphone bottom.
- China Bak Battery Incorporated (CBAK) - Long term bullish rounded bottom.
- Ncr Corporation (NCR) - Intermediate term bullish symmetrical continuation triangle.
- Owens-Illinois Inc. (OI) - Intermediate term bullish continuation diamond.
- Weight Watchers International Incorporated (WTW) - Intermediate term bullish symmetrical continuation triangle.
Stock of the Week : Biovision Faces Uphill Battle (BIVN)
Bioenvision Inc.
(NDAQ:BIVN) may have trouble pushing through its proposed merger with
Genzyme after a major shareholder reiterated its intentions to vote
against it in the company's upcoming annual meeting. Shareholders are
divided on the issue that promises to be a close call on October 14th. (Read More)
Article of the Week : Understanding Subprime Mortgages
Subprime
mortgages have been causing quite the stir in Wall Street, but what are
these types of mortgages and how might the failure in this relatively
small sector of mortgages affect the larger economy? (Read More)
Final Words
The
market remains optimistic despite questionable yields and other
economic data. While this is good news for investors in the short term,
be sure to use caution and only invest prudently.